Real World Sports

KO’s NFL Notes: Inside the Box Scores

In their 31-28 win over the Dolphins, the Jets were outgained by a seemingly dominant margin, 7.2 yards per play to 4.3 yards per play (424-256 in raw yardage). Much of the yardage occurred during garbage time, but even with a 31-13 lead, the Jets were being outgained 260-228. The Jets did benefit from a kickoff return for a TD, and importantly, they made their yardage count. Their two TD and two field goal drives totaled 243 yards. So they did absolutely nothing (13 yards) offensively other than their four scoring drives.

The Jets scoring drives totaled 95% of their total yards, which might be an interesting stat to judge efficiency. The Jets needed to gain only 8.25 yards for every point scored, a phenomenally efficient game for the New Yorkers. Not surprisingly, they didn’t turn the ball over. A return for a TD combined with no turnovers must lead to a pretty gaudy winning percentage.

A couple of other games where the losers outgained the winners by notable margins:

Bengals outgain Seahawks 412-340 but lose due to 4 turnovers.

Falcons outgain Panthers 442-313 but lose. Culprit for Atlanta was a 2-0 turnover disadvantage combined with a meathead at cornerback.

It will be interesting to see if these inefficient teams can turn it around or if they are just sloppy ballclubs destined to underperform their yardage numbers.

Favorites struggled in the NFL, going 5-9-2 (calling Texans, Bengals underdog covers, games hosted by the Jets and Chiefs pushes). Overs went 10-6, calling Giants/Redskins an under. With numerous games landing close to the number, your mileage may vary.