Real World Sports

Wild Card Pointspread History

On Steve Czaban’s “First Team on Fox” show this morning on Fox Sports Radio, I corrected Czabe’s suggestion (also asserted at his terrific web site Czabe.com) that the Wild Card round historically favored the favorites by a substantial margin. But I was overzealous in my correction, as Wild Card Weekend doesn’t favor underdogs as I suggested.

Since the Wild Card round was introduced in 1990, favorites are exactly 50% to the pointspread, going 32-32 with 4 pushes. Underdogs have done well recently, going 12-8 to the number in the last five years, but the long term favors neither the chalk player nor the dog lover during the Wild Card round of the playoffs.