Looking to play home dogs isn’t the worst method of attacking the NFL.  But this season, a year in which the road teams have performed quite well, home dogs have been a pointspread disaster.  Home underdogs are now 19-35-1 (35%) against the number.

Some of the best home dogs historically have been some of the worst teams.  But that is not the case this year.  NFL teams with 3 wins or fewer are 8-22 to the pointspread, making up nearly the entirety of net home dog losers.  Nobody has a winning home underdog pointspread record among the Bengals (2-2), Raiders (1-4), Chiefs (2-3), Lions (0-6), Rams (2-5), or Seahawks (1-2).

Holding your nose to play ugly home dogs is often a winning strategy in the NFL.  But this year it just plain stinks.