Real World Sports

Conference Championship Game Statistical Analysis

Let’s dig deep statistically in the ACC, SEC, and all-important Big 12 Championship Games.

ACC: Boston College vs. Virginia Tech

Previous Meeting: Boston College 14-10 on yardage of 317-265 on October 25. The first 57 minutes saw Tech up 10-0 with a yardage edge of nearly 100 yards. BC did nothing all night on a rainy Thursday night in Blacksburg until the final three minutes where they famously scored two TD’s with an onside kick recovery in between. Turnovers were 2-2 but Virginia Tech dropped three interceptions and BC recovered all three of their own fumbles. Sean Glennon was the only QB for Virginia Tech that night, while the insertion of Taylor has sparked the offense. Hokies are also healthier defensively. BC’s passing attack figures to be a lot less sloppy in dry conditions.

Mutual Opponents: Against Clemson, Georgia Tech, Florida State, and Miami FL, Virginia Tech was 4-0 straight up and 4-0 to the spread, with an average win being 38-15 on yardage of 363-283. Against those same opponents, Boston College was 3-1 straight up, 2-2 against the spread, with an average score 22-17 on yardage of 460-318.

SEC: Tennessee vs. LSU

Previous Meeting: None this year

Mutual Opponents: Both teams played Florida, Mississippi State, Alabama, South Carolina, Arkansas, and Kentucky. Tennessee was 4-2 both straight up and against the spread against that group, with an average score being a 30-35 loss with a yardage deficit of 374-459. As the results suggest, a couple of close wins and a couple of blowout losses n that group. LSU was also 4-2 but 1-4-1 against the spread against mutual opponents. Average score was 38-28 on yardage of 398-272. Obviously the multiple overtime games by both of these teams against Kentucky, as well as LSU’s loss to Arkansas, make the scoring averages screwy here.

Big 12: Missouri vs. Oklahoma

Previous Meeting: On October 13th OU notched a 41-31 win over Mizzou despite being outgained 418-384. OU enjoyed a 4-2 turnover edge in the game and trailed 24-23 before scoring three straight TD’s in the fourth quarter.

Mutual Opponents: Both played Colorado, Iowa State, Texas A&M, and Texas Tech. OU was 2-2 straight up, 1-3 against the spread. Average score was 27-20 with a narrow yardage edge of 356-351. Missouri was 4-0 against those opponents, 2-2 against the spread. Their average win was 44-18 on yardage of 485-338.

We’ll have more on the weekend football card in our Top 25 column posted later on Friday.