Sky High NBA Totals Still Soaring Over
There’s obviously a ton of scoring in the NBA this season, most if it in the Western Conference. As a result, very high totals are being posted. In the past eleven days (ending Monday) at least one game has had a total of 210 posted every day. You have to go back to Thursday, November 6th, which saw only three games played, to find a day without at least one total listed at 210 or more.
These high totaled games are still flying over. Even after an 0-2 to the under on Monday night, in games with totals of 210 or more the over is 15-8-1 in that time frame. The bulk of the profit is in extremely high totaled games, as games with over/under lines of 220 or more are 9-3 to the over.
There’s a lot of scoring, and the totals reflect that. But the last week and a half suggest that the linemakers haven’t adjusted the numbers high enough, particularly in the games that the betting markets suggest are most likely to see fireworks.
One of my favorite angles, because of its simplicity, is to play NBA games between contenders (which I usually define as within 3 in the loss column of the 8 spot or better or until mathematically eliminated) under in April, it spits out a lot of games and hits in the high 50’s to low 60’s percentagewise each year.
I’m wondering if it is going to work as it always has this year.